1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,008 Welcome to the Verus Private Equity Outlook  summary. 2 00:00:04,008 --> 00:00:09,675 Our main area of focus is on the impact of a higher-rate-for-longer scenario on the asset class. 3 00:00:09,675 --> 00:00:14,580 We also examine how the rising rate environment has affected private markets so far. 4 00:00:14,580 --> 00:00:19,365 Private Equity deal activity remains weak in the face of rising interest rates. 5 00:00:19,365 --> 00:00:23,150 Private Equity valuations fell due to a multitude of factors, 6 00:00:23,150 --> 00:00:25,293 deterring Private Equity sellers from transacting. 7 00:00:26,029 --> 00:00:32,011 Until a more stable environment has been established, deal activity will likely remain subdued. 8 00:00:32,011 --> 00:00:37,026 In many cases, with the cost of debt rising, the proportion of equity has also risen. 9 00:00:39,026 --> 00:00:42,026 Exit activity is down a considerable margin year-over-year. 10 00:00:42,325 --> 00:00:48,024 Sponsors are opting to retain their portfolio companies instead of selling them at less-favorable prices. 11 00:00:49,724 --> 00:00:54,354 Public listings were closed due to the decline in public equities and risk premiums in 2022, 12 00:00:54,354 --> 00:00:59,022 but upcoming IPOs and market rebound could lead to increased  IPO activity. 13 00:00:59,122 --> 00:01:04,120 A higher rate rate for longer scenario may benefit prospective investors. 14 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:08,020 Deal activity may pick up alongside motivations borne out of stress and liquidity needs. 15 00:01:09,020 --> 00:01:12,897 Investors may find opportunities in stressed situations. 16 00:01:12,897 --> 00:01:19,022 Buyers will have leverage to push for friendlier deal terms and may benefit from discounted purchase prices. 17 00:01:19,022 --> 00:01:25,108 We expect distressed opportunities to increase, but not to the level of prior market downturns. 18 00:01:25,108 --> 00:01:30,105 With decreasing premiums on risk, there are reduced inflows to private equities. 19 00:01:30,105 --> 00:01:37,162 With higher returns on fixed income assets, the risk-return premium of Private Equity has become less attractive. 20 00:01:37,162 --> 00:01:43,013 Fundraising has decreased across most of U.S. Private Equity and Venture Capital, especially in the late-stage. 21 00:01:44,113 --> 00:01:48,546 General Partners who remain active may find less-competitive markets to be beneficial. 22 00:01:49,545 --> 00:01:53,541 Liquidity needs may result in an uptick of alternatives to full monetization events. 23 00:01:53,541 --> 00:01:59,010 Fundraising difficulties have caused General Partners to lean into alternative avenues 24 00:01:59,167 --> 00:02:04,421 of generating liquid for their existing LP base, one being continuation vehicles. 25 00:02:04,421 --> 00:02:10,833 Secondary investors may benefit from persisting capital overhang that may widen with increasing supply. 26 00:02:10,833 --> 00:02:17,385 The execution of minority sales may also increase for GPs who desire to prolong their ownership 27 00:02:17,385 --> 00:02:20,006 in anticipation of a more favorable exit environment. 28 00:02:21,195 --> 00:02:22,506 Thank you for listening. 29 00:02:22,672 --> 00:02:27,005 Read our full Private Equity Outlook at verusinvestments.com/research.